Professor JNR Jeffers | |
D.Sc. (Lancaster), CStat, CIBiol, FIBiol, CIFor | |
Plant growth analysis
Roderick Hunt Stating the objectives 1. Have you stated clearly and explicitly the objectives of your research and the reasons for doing it? 2. Have you translated these objectives into precise questions that the research may be expected to answer? Revelance of plant growth analysis 3. Is your research expected to involve plant growth or decay, ie irreversible change in size or shape (however measured), or change in number? 4. Do the questions you are asking require more detailed answers on plant form and function than would be available from studies in the fields of production ecology or plant demography? 5. Do the questions you are asking require more broadly-based answers on plant form and function than would be available from studies in the field of environmental physiology? 6. In particular, do you require an integrated assessent of the performance of whole organs, individuals, populations or communities? 7. Do you require this assessment to be made across ecologically- or agronomically-meaningful periods of time? 8. Would it be useful to you to express plant performance in terms of derivates which are independent of the size of the system under study? 9. Are any of the standard types of derivate in plant growth analysis useful to you either per se or as synthetic or comparative tools? For two generalized plant varieties, y and z, and for time t, the commonest derivates are:
Choice of approach 11. Are you interested only in the net or final results of growth or decay over a longish period of time? 12. Are you interested in the detailed time-course of growth or decay, but know enough about this already to need only the level of definition provided by infrequent sampling? 13. If the answer to 11 or 12 is 'yes', can you settle for the classical approach to plant growth analysis, in which mean values of derivates are obtained for the harvest-intervals between large, relatively infrequent samples? 14. Are you unable to accept the assumptions implicit in the use of the classicial harvest interval formulae (in particular, the problems of assembling accurate interrelationships as in 10)? 15. Do you know little or nothing about the time-course of the growth or decay you wish to study? 16. Do you require the most detailed picture possible, perhaps because you expect that species- or treatment-comparisons will be finely balanced? 17. If the answer to 14, 15 or 16 is 'yes', can you settle for the functional approach to plant growth analysis in which frequent, small harvests supply data for statistical curve-fitting? 18. Are any of the following requirements also convincing arguments for the functional approach? Great condensation of primary data; all sampling occasions in use for all comparisons; minimal physical risk or effort per harvest; unequal replication between harvests; unequal harvest intervals; interpolation; smoothing; integral statistical analysis. Experimental design and sampling 19. In general, can you select the right experimental material and use it in such a way as to get down on to paper the best possible data for deriving answers to your original questions? 20. Have you read Statistical Checklist 1 on experimental design? 21. Have you read Statistical Checklist 2 on sampling? 22. Have you read Evans (1972, pp 39-185) on measurement? 23. Have you examined the question of destructive versus non-destructive sampling? Inspection of data 24. As plant variability is commonly value-dependent, do you agree that the natural logarithmic transformation, normally necessary for other reasons, also renders the data homoscedastic, with Gaussian distributions within each harvest subset? 25. (Rarely) is such a transformation harmful to, or within, any of your data sets? Computing 26. Have you investigated the locally-available computing or calculating facilities to see what possibilities are available? 27. Have you read Statistical Checklist 3 on modelling, questions 71-76? 28. Have you decided on whether to write your own program, use a library facility or borrow a program from another worker in the field? 29. If proceeding with any of 28, can you be sure of obtaining all of the necessary values, derivates and limits from your chosen method? 30. Do your computing facilities, as a whole, provide the best possible combination of availability, suitability and turnaround, or must some trade-off of one against another be achieved? Classical analytical methods 31. Have you obtained the appropriate classical formulae, perhaps from a source such as Evans (1972) or Hunt (1978)? 32. Do you fully understand the assumptions involved in the use of each of these formulae? 33. Can you pair your samples satisfactorily across each harvest interval? 34. Can you assemble your classical derivates into populations which permist statistical analysis? 35. Is there evidence of random instability in your classical derivatives or can you genuinely believe what you see? Functional analytical methods 36. Do you know where, on the continuum between mechanism and empiricism, your modelling (in the form of curve-fitting) is likely to lie? 37. If you have firm mechanistic beliefs or hypotheses about the processes underlying the growth or decay that you are studying, can you select or devise a mathematical function which provides a convenient analogue of those processes? 38. Can you fit such a function to your data? 39. Can you then proceed to the required derivates, with statistical limits if possible? 40. If you have no mechanistic beliefs or hypotheses about your system but merely require a suitable statistical approximating function, can you select or devise a mathematical function which provides a convenient representation of your system? 41. Can you fit such a function to your data? 42. Can you then proceed to the required derivates, with statistical limits if possible? 43. Are any of the following functions likely to be of value to you? (An exponential function is a function fitted to logarithmically-transformed data.)
45. If used, have you sought incidental biological relevance in the parameters of the simpler functions listsed in 43? 46. Have you balanced to your own satisfaction the often conflicting requirements of biological expectation and statistical exactitude? 47. Are you aware of the dangers of over-fitting your data? 48. Are you aware of the dangers of under-fitting your data? 49. . Have you used progressions of the derivates as incidental or alternative indications of goodness or suitability of fit? 50. For low-order polynomials, is the stepwise principle of any value? 51. If it is, can you accept a variety of types of fit within your collection of data sets, or must they all be similarly treated for any reason? Post-analysis: assessment and presentation 52. Have you applied Occam's razor wherever possible (accepting the simplest of alternative explanations)? 53. Has your analysis created a Procrustean bed (an abuse of certain data sets in pursuit of over-all uniformity)? 54. Have you got everything you wanted from the analysis? 55. Must you return to another method, perhaps because of the unavailability of meaningful derivates or statistical limits? 56. If your derivates are time-based, can you gain additional information by plotting them not against time but against some other measure of progress, such as total dry weight? 57. Can you incorporate such an alternative measure directly into any of the calculations? 58. If you have experimental treatments based not upon multi-state but upon continuous variables, can you incorporate either the primary or derived data into a response surface involving independent variables in addition to time? 59. If your original design admits both classical and functional methods of anaylsis, can additional information be gained by performing both? 60. Will you present each classical rate-derivate not as single points on a progression in time, but as a histogram with a class-interval equal to the harvest-interval? 61. Will you need to present all of the statistical limits calculated for fitted derivates or can economy of presentation be achieved by giving only the 'control', or perhaps the widest, set of limits? 62. Can values of derivates from empirical work be used to set values or limits to state variables or rate equations in subsequent mechanistic work? The final (and most important) question 63. If you are in any doubt about the purpose of any of the questions in this checklist, should you not obtain some advice from a modeller with experience of your field of research before continuing? There is usually little that an expert advisor can do to help you once you have committed yourself to a faulty approach. Bibliography (Indicating the relevance of each publication in brackets) Causton, D. R. (1977) A biologist's mathematics. Edward Arnold, London. (For the mathematics of plant growth.) Causton, D. R. & Venus, J. C. (1981) The biometry of plant growth. Edward Arnold, London. (For advanced reading on the functional approach: regression theory, asymptotic functions and the growth of plant components.) Evans, G. C. (1972) The quantitative analysis of plant growth. Blackwell Scientific Publications, Oxford. (For history, experimental technique and advanced reading on the classical approach.) Hunt, R. (1978) Plant growth anaylsis. Studies in Biology no. 96. Edward Arnold, London. (For introductory reading on the classical and functional approaches.) Hunt R. (1982) Plant growth curves: a functional approach to plant growth analysis. Edward Arnold, London. (For more advanced reading on the functional approach, rationale, non-asymptotic functions, links with other fields.) Jeffers, J. N. R. (1978) Design of experiments. (Statistical Checklist 1). Institute of Terrestrial Ecology, Cambridge. Jeffers, J. N. R. (1979) Sampling. (Statistical Checklist 2). Institute of Terrestrial Ecology, Cambridge. Jeffers, J. N. R. (1980) Modelling. (Statistical Checklist 3). Institute of Terrestrial Ecology, Cambridge. Thornley, J. H. M. (1976) Mathematical models in plant physiology: a quantitative approach to problems in plant and crop physiology. Academic Press, London. (For mechanistic modelling.) |
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